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When President Donald Trump defeated Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 election, much of the political world was shocked — but a new study reveals one forecasting framework that anticipated that outcome. “Many voters rely on prospective voting, a process of evaluating candidates based on anticipated future performance,” wrote PsyPost's Karina Petrova on Monday . “Researchers have found that these forward-looking assessments become a primary driver of voter behavior in open-seat contests. Voters look ahead at what policies and leadership styles the new candidates might bring to the office.” In a study led by Macromedia University of Applied Sciences researcher Andreas Graefe, the scientists created a so-called “Issues and Leaders model” to figure out why voters make the choices they do rather than simply profiling their support for different candidates at specific points in time. “The Issues and Leaders model focuses entirely on two variables: issue-handling competence and l...

Trump's 'pitifully impotent' presidency torn apart as PR disaster spirals

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A conservative commentator argued that President Donald Trump and his MAGA movement, instead of seeming all-powerful, are instead appearing to the world as “impotent.” “The state of the Lincoln Memorial reflecting pool is a sort of moron-populist version of Chernobyl,” wrote The Dispatch's Nick Catoggio on Monday , referencing the Soviet Union’s infamous mishandling of a nuclear power plant leak in Ukraine in 1986. “In both cases, the government’s incompetence and corruption created a vexing ecological problem. And in both cases, the government undertook to cover up its culpability in the matter.” After adding that the nuclear meltdown in 1986 was more consequential than the Reflecting Pool’s algae growth in 2026, Catoggio noted that the Reflecting Pool crisis occurred because the White House valued cronyism over competence. “Instead it awarded a no-bid contract for a quick fix to a firm owned by a Trump donor—except that the quick fix, applying sealant to the pool’s bottom, didn’...

Why Nicolle Wallace says it’s 'unfair' to compare Trump to the mob

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President Donald Trump is worse than the mafia, a news anchor argued on Monday, because at least the mob tends to be competent. “I actually think the comparisons to the mob are unfair, because as violent as the mob is, they — historically — can be more competent than that,” MS NOW anchor Nicolle Wallace said on Monday. She was referring to Trump’s failed attempt to renovate the Reflecting Pool. “This was a botched redecorating of a monument.” She added, “It doesn't belong to Donald Trump. It doesn't belong to any president in office. He's the steward of it for four years, and he ruined it.” Journalist Scott MacFarlane continued that Trump’s arrests of people he claims without evidence sabotaged the Reflecting Pool are baseless and not even serious cases. “They're not major cases,” MacFarlane told Wallace. “They are U.S. Park Police or federal law enforcement citations. If the Department of Justice wants to make these major cases and charge these people with felonies, t...

Top Trump officials claim they’ve found bizarre new 'deep state hoax'

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Two top officials in President Donald Trump's administration are teasing "evidence" they have that will vindicate one of the biggest presidential scandals in history. Last month, President Donald Trump's officials promised that they had evidence of rampant fraud in the 2020 Georgia and Arizona elections. On Sunday, however, the same officials proclaimed that former President Richard Nixon was innocent and that the Watergate scandal was a "deep state hoax." According to pardon attorney Ed Martin , "We should mark the 54th anniversary of the Watergate break-in (a few days ago) by remembering this: it is the OG hoax with the pre-FISA CIA running wiretaps on domestic politicians. And then blaming the Nixon campaign. And Washington Post leading (not reporting)." Even the Encyclopedia Britannica makes it clear that there was no CIA involvement in the Watergate break-in. Rather, "Four of them formerly had been active in Central Intelligence Agency ...

Ex-GOP strategist explains Trump’s latest baffling move

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In the past, U.S. President Donald Trump wasn't shy about voicing his total disdain for Camp David — making it clear that he found the presidential retreat in Frederick County, Maryland extremely boring. But Trump headed to Camp David over the weekend, and former GOP strategist Rick Wilson laid out some possible motivations in a "Fast Politics" video with liberal Molly Jong-Fast. Wilson told Jong-Fast, "Everyone is surprised that Donald Trump is at Camp David because the exact quote, before, was, 'I get f–– bored there in 30 minutes.' Trump does not like Camp David…. I think he's been there, in this administration, never. And I think he went once or twice in the previous (administration). So, this is either the second or third time that I can recall." The Never Trump conservative added, "What's curious about the whole thing, Molly…. There is a degree to which I am very curious." Wilson laid out some possible reasons why Trump ventured...

Trump's revenge tour just backfired

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The Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, passed in 2015, is a federal law that requires the President to submit any nuclear agreement with Iran to Congress, prevents the President from lifting statutory sanctions during a review period, and establishes ongoing congressional oversight. Several Republicans and Democrats have called on Trump to follow the law on the Iran MOU, but Trump plans to skip it after alienating voices he’d need to defend it. Trump’s personal thirst for revenge at home is hurting him on Iran. Congressmen he attacked in pursuit of personal retribution, and who lost their primaries as a result, have no Effs left to give and can now criticize him openly. Republican Senators Thom Tillis of North Carolina, Bill Cassidy of Louisiana, and John Cornyn of Texas represent precisely this threat, and they came out swinging at the MOU. Senator Cassidy called the deal "the worst foreign policy blunder in decades.” Cassidy noted that, “Iran's nuclear ambitions were...

White House sources say Trump is 'raging' in fear at being pulled back into his war

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Zeteo writers Asawin Suebsaeng and Prem Thakker say Trump is so desperate to finally be rid of the war he unilaterally began in February that he is wandering around the White House, bawling in panic that Israeli leader Benjamin Netanyahu is scheming to drag him back in. “He’s swearing a lot about it,” one close Trump adviser told Zeteo. Another Trump administration official said: “[R]ight now, he’s definitely madder at the Israelis than the Iranians.” The sources who’ve spoken to Trump over the past several days say Israel’s “continued attacks in Lebanon and Israeli leaders’ efforts to pressure the Americans into abandoning the memorandum of understanding with Iran have, in fact, further driven Trump in the opposite direction,” according to Zeteo, adding that “the president keeps venting to advisers how angry he is at Netanyahu and other political and media figures – in the U.S. and in Israel – for transparently trying to drag him back into war, or for suggesting that Trump is surre...